SUMMARY
Primary results of
earthquake prediction in Southeast Asia and North Việt Nam
on the basis of Algorithms M8 and M8S
Cao Đình Triều,
Mai Xuân Bách, Cao Đình Trọng
In
this paper the authors present the primary results of earthquake prediction in
Southeast Asia and North Việt
1) The algorithm M8 can be effectively used for earthquake prediction with the M7.0+ in Southeast Asia: the great Sumatra earthquake M9.0 (26/12/2004) was predicted on the basis of the earthquake catalogue to the end of 2003 (R = 667 km and R = 3000 km); the Java earthquake M7.7 (17/7/2006) was predicted on the basis of earthquake events to the end of 2005 (R = 281 km); and the South Taiwan M7,1 (26/12/2006) was also predicted on the basis of events to the end of 2005.
2)
The extended algorithm M8S can be effectively used for earthquake prediction in
Việt
3) During the time from 2006 to 2010, the danger of earthquake M6.5+ can occur in the areas of Northwest Lao and North Hà Giang Province.
Ngày nhận bài: 9/1/2007
Người biên tập: Nguyễn Đình Xuyên